← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 54% | 47% | 1.82 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 30% | 3.75 | value: +11% |
| Rizespor win | 20% | 24% | 4.76 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 571.00 | 510.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1676.87 | 1516.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.23 | -7.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 56.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| state index | 1.09 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |