← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 41% | 47% | 2.39 | value: +12% |
| Rizespor win | 30% | 26% | 3.21 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.39 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Osmanlispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 502.00 | 2907.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1525.85 | 1604.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.02 | 25.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 31.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.46 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.56 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |