← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 37% | 37% | 2.63 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 33% | 35% | 2.94 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.28 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mersin Idman Yurdu | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1478.71 | 1555.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.08 | 11.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 21.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |