← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor win | 47% | 36% | 2.06 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 31% | 3.50 | value: +7% |
| Antalyaspor win | 25% | 33% | 3.93 | value: +30% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kayserispor | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 278.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1486.19 | 1530.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.97 | 9.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.78 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |