← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 58% | 68% | 1.68 | value: +14% |
| Draw | 24% | 19% | 4.00 | fair |
| Eskisehirspor win | 18% | 13% | 5.52 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2900.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1609.62 | 1478.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.76 | 7.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 40.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.81 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |