← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 52% | 45% | 1.86 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 31% | 3.52 | value: +10% |
| Konyaspor win | 20% | 24% | 4.89 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 556.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1657.51 | 1819.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.05 | 11.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| league points | 50.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 2.31 |
| state index | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |