← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Mon, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 39% | 47% | 2.50 | value: +18% |
| Kayserispor win | 31% | 24% | 3.16 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.24 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 490.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1522.48 | 1483.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.61 | -25.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 29.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| rest days | 16.96 | 16.96 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 0.92 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.91 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |