← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 67% | 54% | 1.45 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 26% | 4.58 | value: +19% |
| Osmanlispor win | 12% | 20% | 8.36 | value: +70% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Osmanlispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 307.00 | 2894.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1826.30 | 1602.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.75 | 46.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| league points | 59.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 20.96 | 14.96 |
| season ppg | 2.36 | 1.50 |
| state index | 1.78 | 0.97 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |