← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor win | 49% | 41% | 1.98 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.47 | fair |
| Akhisarspor win | 23% | 32% | 4.30 | value: +38% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 307.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1530.79 | 1572.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.67 | -29.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 15.96 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |