← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 46% | 41% | 2.12 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.49 | fair |
| Osmanlispor win | 26% | 31% | 3.74 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Buyuksehyr | Osmanlispor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2872.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1676.74 | 1576.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.45 | 37.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 40.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |