← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Mon, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 76% | 71% | 1.28 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 18% | 6.17 | value: +12% |
| Eskisehirspor win | 8% | 11% | 12.19 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 280.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1775.19 | 1462.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.23 | 13.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 51.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.32 | 0.74 |
| state index | 1.14 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |