← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 55% | 35% | 1.78 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | 3.79 | value: +12% |
| Trabzonspor win | 19% | 35% | 5.04 | value: +78% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 522.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1629.83 | 1590.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.59 | -35.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.94 | -0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |