← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osmanlispor win | 62% | 55% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | 4.25 | value: +13% |
| Gaziantep win | 15% | 18% | 6.56 | value: +20% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Osmanlispor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2865.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1579.56 | 1538.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 55.81 | -2.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 32.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |