← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sat, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 39% | 33% | 2.47 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | 3.18 | fair |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 30% | 38% | 3.27 | value: +24% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mersin Idman Yurdu | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 514.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1495.79 | 1617.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.69 | 32.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 17.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.68 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |