← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Mon, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 62% | 63% | 1.58 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | 4.30 | fair |
| Genclerbirligi win | 16% | 14% | 6.24 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 266.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1783.88 | 1547.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.54 | 34.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 48.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.19 |
| state index | 1.50 | 0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |