← Süper Lig 2015-16 · Sun, Aug 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 62% | 61% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 24% | 4.35 | fair |
| Gaziantep win | 16% | 15% | 6.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 83.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1650.21 | 1480.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.99 | -26.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |