← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 39% | 38% | 2.51 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 32% | 36% | 3.07 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.33 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 180.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1555.98 | 1656.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.46 | -8.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 35.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.70 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |