← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 60% | 37% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 30% | 4.35 | value: +31% |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 18% | 33% | 5.45 | value: +80% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mersin Idman Yurdu | Buyuksehyr |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1545.25 | 1655.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.38 | 17.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.76 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |