← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 60% | 71% | 1.63 | value: +16% |
| Draw | 21% | 17% | 4.67 | fair |
| Kasimpasa win | 19% | 11% | 5.08 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fenerbahce | Kasimpasa |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 698.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1795.27 | 1538.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.82 | -15.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 71.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.12 |
| state index | 1.09 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |