← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 66% | 55% | 1.48 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 26% | 4.95 | value: +28% |
| Konyaspor win | 14% | 19% | 6.75 | value: +26% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bursaspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 363.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1662.75 | 1568.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.24 | 5.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 56.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.36 |
| state index | 0.89 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |