← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 44% | 47% | 2.23 | value: +5% |
| Akhisarspor win | 29% | 24% | 3.31 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.64 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1556.63 | 1512.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.20 | -22.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.62 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 39.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |