← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erciyesspor win | 37% | 39% | 2.64 | value: +4% |
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 36% | 32% | 2.68 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.65 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erciyesspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 690.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1446.41 | 1494.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.32 | -0.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| state index | -1.08 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |