← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas win | 46% | 56% | 2.10 | value: +18% |
| Genclerbirligi win | 27% | 18% | 3.61 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.68 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Besiktas | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 727.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1719.92 | 1564.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.46 | -12.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 66.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.21 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |