← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balikesirspor win | 44% | 47% | 2.24 | value: +4% |
| Gaziantep win | 31% | 28% | 3.17 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.79 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1470.84 | 1498.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.95 | -18.78 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 26.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.18 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |