← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, May 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 52% | 45% | 1.86 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 29% | 3.87 | value: +11% |
| Besiktas win | 22% | 26% | 4.35 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Besiktas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 722.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1791.10 | 1729.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.85 | -10.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.89 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 73.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.28 | 2.06 |
| state index | 1.39 | 0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |