← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 72% | 66% | 1.35 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 18% | 5.97 | value: +10% |
| Balikesirspor win | 12% | 16% | 8.39 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Balikesirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 203.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1652.55 | 1474.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.54 | 17.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 53.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.81 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |