← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi win | 47% | 45% | 2.06 | fair |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 27% | 27% | 3.62 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 3.76 | value: +5% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genclerbirligi | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 21.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1577.89 | 1532.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.72 | 16.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 40.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |