← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Mon, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor win | 50% | 42% | 1.96 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | 3.85 | value: +9% |
| Akhisarspor win | 25% | 30% | 3.94 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 168.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1497.22 | 1534.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.97 | -7.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.64 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 31.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |