← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, May 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 60% | 47% | 1.62 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 29% | 4.33 | value: +27% |
| Erciyesspor win | 17% | 23% | 5.63 | value: +30% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erciyesspor | Buyuksehyr |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1448.29 | 1647.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.44 | 2.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 23.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.74 |
| state index | -1.03 | 0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |