← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 42% | 35% | 2.31 | fair |
| Balikesirspor win | 30% | 38% | 3.27 | value: +25% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Kardemir Karabukspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 677.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1460.90 | 1497.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.17 | 10.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 0.81 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |