← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Wed, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 39% | 46% | 2.48 | value: +15% |
| Bursaspor win | 34% | 29% | 2.83 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.72 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 193.00 | 346.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1662.01 | 1656.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.01 | 10.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 50.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| state index | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |