← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Tue, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 43% | 37% | 2.26 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.39 | value: +5% |
| Genclerbirligi win | 28% | 32% | 3.47 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 223.00 | 11.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1546.32 | 1591.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.45 | 17.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |