← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 79% | 63% | 1.24 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 24% | 6.85 | value: +62% |
| Konyaspor win | 7% | 14% | 14.00 | value: +91% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 219.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1779.13 | 1549.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.77 | 17.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 64.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.21 | 1.31 |
| state index | 1.26 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |