← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 40% | 39% | 2.45 | fair |
| Erciyesspor win | 33% | 34% | 2.93 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.63 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erciyesspor | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1438.63 | 1543.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.20 | 31.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 21.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.45 |
| state index | -1.34 | 0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |