← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 49% | 38% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | 3.60 | value: +7% |
| Rizespor win | 24% | 32% | 4.04 | value: +30% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 663.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1495.17 | 1508.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.70 | -7.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 21.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |