← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor win | 48% | 43% | 2.02 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | 3.57 | value: +7% |
| Akhisarspor win | 24% | 27% | 4.00 | value: +9% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Konyaspor | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 207.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1555.41 | 1542.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.90 | 27.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 35.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |