← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 77% | 68% | 1.27 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 21% | 6.35 | value: +33% |
| Gaziantep win | 8% | 11% | 12.57 | value: +42% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Galatasaray | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 268.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1768.24 | 1519.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.85 | 17.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 58.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.30 |
| state index | 0.83 | 0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |