← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor win | 52% | 48% | 1.88 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.85 | fair |
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 23% | 27% | 4.25 | value: +15% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 144.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1587.04 | 1516.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.14 | -23.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.91 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 31.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.43 | -0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |