← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Mon, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 47% | 48% | 2.07 | fair |
| Akhisarspor win | 27% | 26% | 3.68 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.70 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mersin Idman Yurdu | Akhisarspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 109.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1517.29 | 1541.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.01 | 12.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 35.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |