← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray win | 37% | 39% | 2.66 | fair |
| Trabzonspor win | 35% | 35% | 2.76 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trabzonspor | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 169.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1654.22 | 1780.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.46 | -0.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 43.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 2.23 |
| state index | 0.87 | 1.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |