← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 39% | 36% | 2.50 | fair |
| Erciyesspor win | 32% | 34% | 3.05 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.36 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erciyesspor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1454.74 | 1512.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.58 | -38.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.04 |
| state index | -1.35 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |