← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sun, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyuksehyr win | 56% | 53% | 1.74 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | 3.86 | value: +8% |
| Rizespor win | 19% | 19% | 5.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Buyuksehyr | Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1645.22 | 1534.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.31 | 35.15 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.08 |
| state index | 0.89 | 0.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |