← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce win | 51% | 54% | 1.92 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 3.77 | fair |
| Rizespor win | 23% | 19% | 4.20 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rizespor | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 124.00 | 642.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1544.00 | 1784.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.75 | -22.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 28.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 12.96 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 2.12 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |