← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 43% | 41% | 2.28 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 30% | 29% | 3.29 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | 3.55 | value: +4% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eskisehirspor | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1528.36 | 1576.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.56 | -2.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 27.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |