← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 37% | 49% | 2.65 | value: +29% |
| Balikesirspor win | 36% | 26% | 2.69 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | 3.64 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Mersin Idman Yurdu |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1467.88 | 1501.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.76 | -36.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 18.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.28 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |