← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor win | 39% | 39% | 2.51 | fair |
| Sivasspor win | 34% | 34% | 2.87 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.59 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sivasspor | Bursaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 110.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1556.77 | 1666.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.30 | -3.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 24.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.55 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |