← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mersin Idman Yurdu win | 47% | 53% | 2.09 | value: +11% |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.48 | fair |
| Gaziantep win | 25% | 20% | 3.85 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mersin Idman Yurdu | Gaziantep |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1512.52 | 1524.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.67 | -8.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 32.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |