← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kardemir Karabukspor win | 49% | 41% | 1.97 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | 3.50 | value: +12% |
| Konyaspor win | 23% | 27% | 4.29 | value: +17% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kardemir Karabukspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 620.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1501.45 | 1532.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.46 | -7.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 18.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| state index | -1.17 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |