← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Fri, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskisehirspor win | 49% | 42% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.61 | value: +4% |
| Balikesirspor win | 24% | 29% | 4.04 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Eskisehirspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1448.41 | 1547.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.86 | 23.58 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 15.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| state index | -0.94 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |