← Süper Lig 2014-15 · Mon, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 45% | 45% | 2.17 | fair |
| Gaziantep win | 28% | 27% | 3.48 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 3.61 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gaziantep | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 227.00 | 135.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1504.33 | 1678.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.43 | 32.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 28.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.74 |
| state index | -0.70 | 1.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |